15-MIN CALL coinbase · 1-min model
STRIKE LADDER LAB 15-min fit · zero-poll
FEAR & GREED
MOSCOW TIME LAB waiting for price…
sats per $1, read as a clock — last two digits are the minutes
1,579 sats → 15:79 · flips green when the dollar buys more sats
HALVING CLOCK
DIFFICULTY EPOCH LAB syncing…
BOOK DEPTH
₿ resting in the book between spot and each price
BLOCK GRAFFITI LAB syncing…
- syncing — waiting for the chain tip…
coinbase tags + OP_RETURNs · sampled: first 25 txs/block
PRICE × RISK png ↗
NODE MAP
reachable bitcoin nodes by location · dot ≈ nodes in a 0.1° cell · arcs illustrative
THE BLOCK — 3D
FEE WEATHER LAB syncing…
forecast — dashed blocks aren't mined yet · fill = fullness · color = median sat/vB
BLOCKS — LIVE ASSEMBLY LAB
CYCLE RULERS LAB fitting…
log-log least squares over all shipped history · band = 5th–95th pct of fit residuals
HOW RISK IS MADE
Each signal is ranked against its own trailing 4 years; risk is the average of the three percentiles. The headline number moves live: today's exact risk-vs-price curve, evaluated at the live price.
(price − 4yr SMA) / 4yr σ— → —
ln(price / 20w SMA)— → —
50d SMA / 50w SMA— → —
LEVERAGE TEMP LAB syncing…
APR = 8h funding × 1095 (×3 ×365) · deribit = trailing 8h realized · okx = current period · carry = nearest quarterly mark ⁄ spot − 1, × 365 ⁄ days
MARKET FABRIC
WHALE WATCH — ON-CHAIN LAB syncing…
- syncing…
relay txs ≥ 10 ₿ · sampled from relay — not exhaustive
LIGHTNING PULSELAB syncing…
- ranking the giants…
public lightning network · 7d deltas vs last week · spark deepens with use